Predicting Traffic Impacts of New Designs
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The Issue
Managers responsible for Web channels often want to know how design
changes will affect
user behaviour. While traditional lab-based usability testing can
help identify impediments to
successful user experience, the qualitative nature of the research
makes it hard to predict how
design changes will affect actual behaviour once the site is launched.
Background
The Canada Site is the Government of Canada’s main portal
for government information and services. The site is divided into
three main areas (known as Gateways) directed at Canadians, Non-Canadians
and Canadian Business. Within these three Gateways, subject or audience-based
sections lead users to information and services based on their needs,
irrespective of their knowledge of the government’s organizational
structure.
The goal of the Gateways and subject/audience clusters is to ensure
seamless, one-stop access to information by transcending organizational
boundaries, by first aggregating, and then organizing, information
in ways that resonate with the situational needs and expectations
of Canadian and non-Canadian audiences.
In March 2003, the Canada Site was redesigned to reflect behaviour
observed in usability testing and other research exercises. One
of the main changes made to the Canada Site home page was the redesign
of the Gateway entry points as buttons, with direct links to specific
subject areas under the Canadians Gateway heading.

Following the launch of the new Home page in March 2003, click-through
reports showed that traffic through the Canadians Gateway decreased
dramatically due to the availability of the direct links to popular
subject categories [1]. While the site was
ultimately more usable for the majority of visitors who accessed
these subject areas, the new design had the following unanticipated
impacts:
- There was significant variability in traffic for individual clusters
from month to month, depending on whether they were featured as
a link on the Canada Site home page.
- While users could still access the Canadians Gateway Home Page
either by clicking on “more topics” or the Gateway button
itself, the presence of the topical links migrated attention away
from the general entry points. As a result, users were no longer
exposed to the range of topics and services listed on the Canadians
Gateway Home Page.
To address this issue, three prototype designs were developed in
the winter of 2004 for a revised version of the Canada Site Home
Page. Two of these prototypes offered a pull-down menu with a list
of topics that led directly to individual clusters. The third concept
represented an adaptation of the site posted at the time, whereby
topics were listed under the Gateway button, but were not clickable
(and, therefore, did not enable the user to by-pass the Canadians
Gateway Home Page). In all cases, the intent was to ensure that
users were quickly directed to the specific information sought,
while at the same time being exposed to the range of other topics
that are available on the Canadians Gateway Home Page.

In testing the different options, the Government not only wanted to determine the usability of the prototypes,
they also wanted to model the likely impact on traffic prior to re-launch. In particular, they wanted to assess
which of the different options best struck and balance between usability and the Government’s desire to inform
citizens of the range of services available to them.
Automated Testing and Tracking
To address this challenge, Phase 5 used a unique approach that
involved online exercises, whereby we tracked behaviour and usability
metrics while recruited participants were completing information
retrieval exercises using the different prototypes. We recruited
130 respondents who were asked to complete three task-based exercises
with one of the three prototypes. The tasks were self-completed
and no human intervention occurred during the process. Rather, the
respondent completed the exercises by himself or herself while software
tracked their behaviour, recorded success or failure and the number
of clicks and time to completion.
A relatively new and innovative approach to user testing of Web
interfaces, ‘online testing’ allowed us to test the Canada Site
and the Canadians Gateway prototypes with a larger audience and
thereby predict with greater certainty user behaviour. It also significantly
extended the geographical and demographic reach of the study.
Some of the results of the task completion exercises, in terms
of the path taken through the different prototypes, are shown in
the table below.

The online usability tests showed that one of the prototypes (#3)
was clearly more effective at leading participants through to the
Canadians Gateway. The figures in the previous table show that the
Canadians Gateway button was chosen by 28% of respondents for Task
1 using prototype 3, compared to only 3% and 5% respectively for
prototypes 1 and 2. This number also jumped to between 64% and 70%
of respondents who used the Canadians Gateway to access information
for Task 2 and 3. This jump is perhaps indicative of levels of familiarity
with the design and layout of the site as respondents progressed
from Task 1 to Task 2 and 3.
During follow-up in-person usability interviews, it became apparent
that the symmetrical layout of prototype 3 better communicated that
the gateway buttons were valid navigation options. While a number
of participants used the drop-down menu within the Canadians Gateway
area on Prototype 1 and 2, the layout and appearance of the gateway
buttons themselves did not communicate that they were valid navigation
options. As such, participants sought out other navigation options
on the Canada Site.
Conclusion
Subsequent to the testing, Canada Site and Canadians Gateway managers re-launched the site, with traffic
patterns emulating what was found during the testing. In addition to better understanding traffic impacts of
new designs prior to launch, the Canada Site and Canadians Gateway established valuable usability
benchmarks (e.g. task completion success rates, time to completion) against which future design changes can
be assessed. The online task completion approach enabled them to emulate real-life impacts of site changes
and, thereby, better manage towards desired outcomes.
To learn more and to find out how Phase 5 can help you implement
a web traffic prediction program, please contact Doug
Church at 613-241-7555, ext. 101.
1 In the month after the change, traffic through
the Canadians Gateway decreased by approximately 75%.
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